Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Phoenix Rising v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Phoenix Rising 1-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights nicked a narrow win over Phoenix Rising 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 46% lean on Phoenix Rising didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Las Vegas Lights saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.89 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Phoenix Rising against 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Result & Final Score
Phoenix Rising 1 - 2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 46%, draw 27%, Las Vegas Lights 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.