Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-3
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
3-2
HT 2-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Phoenix Rising 1-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights nicked a narrow win over Phoenix Rising 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 40% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 60%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.89 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
Phoenix Rising 1-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 42%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.