Louisville City 4-2 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.03/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.65
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.8 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Memphis 901
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-1 HT 1-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
11.06.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-3 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
30.04.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-1 HT 0-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
24.09.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 1-2 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
17.07.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-2 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
24.10.2021 Louisville City Louisville City 3-1 HT 2-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
4-2
AWAY Memphis 901
1.58 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
378 Passes 394
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City got the better of Memphis 901 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Louisville City had 50% of the ball to Memphis 901's 50%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.58 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.50 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Memphis 901?

Louisville City 4-2 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 53%, draw 24%, Memphis 901 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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