Monterey Bay 0-2 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.53
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.8pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.97
-37% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
22.3 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Detroit City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.43 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
17.07.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
0-2
AWAY Detroit City
0.36 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
440 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City got the better of Monterey Bay 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Detroit City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 57% of the ball to Detroit City's 43%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.36 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Detroit City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 0.50 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Detroit City?

Monterey Bay 0-2 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 38%, draw 25%, Detroit City 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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