Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Indy Eleven 3-2 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven shaded a tight game against Miami FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.
Under the surface, Miami FC saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Indy Eleven against 0.33 for Miami FC.
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 3 - 2 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 53%, draw 25%, Miami FC 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.