Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Indy Eleven 3-2 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Miami FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 42% of the ball to Miami FC's 58%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Indy Eleven and 0.33 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Indy Eleven 3-2 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 54%, draw 24%, Miami FC 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.