Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
Indy Eleven 1-0 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven edged past Miami FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 51% of the ball to Miami FC's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.64 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Indy Eleven's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 0.50 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Indy Eleven 1-0 Miami FC in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 44%, draw 25%, Miami FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.