Sacramento Republic 1-0 El Farolito — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USA - Open Cup, 17 Apr 2025

Sacramento Republic WDLDL→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
El Farolito WWLWW→
📅17/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2025

Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
70%
1.4
Draw
17%
4.5
Away
13%
6.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.14
Over
60%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Sacramento Republic v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sacramento Republic The Market 71%
Signal
AWAY El Farolito The Market 15%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.11
Weak Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
8 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 4

Sacramento Republic 1-0 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
1 - 0
AWAY El Farolito
1.21 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
263 Passes 209
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 26
9 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sacramento Republic edged past El Farolito 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Sacramento Republic's favour, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.21 to 0.64.

Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito Result & Final Score

Sacramento Republic 1 - 0 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sacramento Republic vs El Farolito Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 70%, draw 17%, El Farolito 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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