FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.12
6+ Goals
14%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 34%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.33/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.61
+2% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
14.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
07.09.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
06.04.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 3-3 HT 1-2 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
10.09.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
28.07.2019 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
08.06.2019 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 5-0 HT 3-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
1-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
2.93 xG 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 9
15 Corners 7
424 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 24
41 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 63% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 37%, shots finished 23-21, expected goals 2.93 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?

FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 42%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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