FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Tulsa v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Tulsa 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
By the numbers, possession split 63% to 37% in FC Tulsa's favour, shots finished 23-21, expected goals 2.93 to 1.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for FC Tulsa against 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
FC Tulsa 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 45%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5 went the other way.