Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
5-0
HT 3-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
Phoenix Rising 0-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa squeezed past Phoenix Rising 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 68% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 32%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.49 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Phoenix Rising and 0.50 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Phoenix Rising 0-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 45%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.