Lexington vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 2-0 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington beat Hartford Athletic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lexington had 47% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 53%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.71 to 0.51.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Hartford Athletic?
Lexington 2-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Hartford Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lexington 45%, draw 23%, Hartford Athletic 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.