San Antonio vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-2
HT 0-1
San Antonio
USLP
2-3
HT 1-2
San Antonio
USLP
6-0
HT 3-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
San Antonio 1-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio nicked a narrow win over Monterey Bay 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Antonio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, San Antonio had 52% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 48%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.39 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for San Antonio and 0.67 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
San Antonio 1-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 44%, draw 24%, Monterey Bay 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.