Charleston Battery 1-2 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
34%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.36/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.53
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.5 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Louisville City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.44 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
304 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 3-1 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
10.04.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-2 HT 3-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
05.11.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
10.08.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
23.04.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-0 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
07.08.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 4-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
1-2
AWAY Louisville City
0.51 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
415 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City nicked a narrow win over Charleston Battery 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Louisville City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 63% of the ball to Louisville City's 37%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.51 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.83 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Louisville City?

Charleston Battery 1-2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 37%, draw 24%, Louisville City 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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