Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
6-1
HT 3-0
Loudoun United
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Birmingham Legion 1-3 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Loudoun United saw off Birmingham Legion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Loudoun United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 47% of the ball to Loudoun United's 53%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.95 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.67 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Birmingham Legion 1-3 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 39%, draw 25%, Loudoun United 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.