Naples vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Naples v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Naples 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Naples and Tampa Bay Rowdies with a point apiece.
A draw from a 36% / 28% / 35% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Tampa Bay Rowdies saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.36 to 1.82.
Naples vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
Naples 1 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Naples vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Naples 36%, draw 28%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naples) went the other way.