Colorado Springs 3-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
3-2
AWAY One Knoxville
1.96 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
507 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 23
38 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs edged past One Knoxville 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Colorado Springs found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 62% of the ball to One Knoxville's 38%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs One Knoxville?

Colorado Springs 3-2 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 40%, draw 26%, One Knoxville 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Over 2.5
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