New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-2
HT 1-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
New Mexico United 2-2 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United and El Paso Locomotive couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, New Mexico United had 57% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 43%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.53 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New Mexico United and 1.00 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United 2-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USA - Open Cup on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 47%, draw 21%, El Paso Locomotive 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.