New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 1-0 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past El Paso Locomotive 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, New Mexico United had 62% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 38%, shots finished 5-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Mexico United and 1.17 for El Paso Locomotive.
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 1 - 0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 48%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.