New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-2
HT 1-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-2
HT 1-1
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 1-0 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past El Paso Locomotive 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 62% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 38%, shots finished 5-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New Mexico United and 1.17 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United 1-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 46%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.