Lexington 1-1 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
1-1
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.31 xG 0.42
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
568 Passes 234
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington and Indy Eleven shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lexington had 67% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 33%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.31 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

Lexington 1-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lexington 38%, draw 26%, Indy Eleven 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ BTTS Yes
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