Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miami FC v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Miami FC
USLP
3-1
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
1-2
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Miami FC 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Miami FC 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Miami FC had 45% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 55%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.19 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Miami FC and 2.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Miami FC 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 27%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.