Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Miami FC v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Miami FC 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Miami FC 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Tampa Bay Rowdies saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.19 to 1.39.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Miami FC against 2.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
Miami FC 1 - 2 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 15%, draw 20%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.