FC Tulsa 0-1 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.44/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.81
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.0 Crosses 18.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY North Carolina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.32 xG 1.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
418 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
0-1
AWAY North Carolina
1.33 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
268 Passes 204
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina edged past FC Tulsa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; North Carolina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 55% of the ball to North Carolina's 45%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.89 — on chances, FC Tulsa could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs North Carolina?

FC Tulsa 0-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 36%, draw 25%, North Carolina 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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