Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.77
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.6 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.87 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.07.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 HT 3-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
16.06.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
24.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-4 HT 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
24.07.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
20.03.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.00 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past Hartford Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 62% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 38%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.33 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 47%, draw 28%, Hartford Athletic 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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