North Carolina 2-0 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Oct 2024

North Carolina
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

North Carolina vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.98
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Carolina v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
2.51/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.83
+40% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.3 Crosses 13.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

North Carolina 2-0 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
2-0
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.98 xG 0.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
332 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina got the better of FC Tulsa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, North Carolina had 45% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 55%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.98 to 0.32.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs FC Tulsa?

North Carolina 2-0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 58%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✗ Over 2.5
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