El Paso Locomotive 2-2 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -9%
1.18/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.17
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.5 Crosses 19.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-2D-3L
AWAY San Antonio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 144
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.06.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
13.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
11.06.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
24.07.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
17.04.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
07.10.2021 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-3 HT 0-2 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2-2
AWAY San Antonio
1.13 xG 1.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 3
297 Passes 135
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
30 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 64% of the ball to San Antonio's 36%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.50 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?

El Paso Locomotive 2-2 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 40%, draw 26%, San Antonio 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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