Orange County SC 2-0 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.73
No
63%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.73
6+ Goals
7%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 36% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
54%
-16.3pp
63%
BTTS No
46%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.14/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.60
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.6 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.78 xG 1.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
274 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-2 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
16.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
11.06.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
07.08.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.03.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
07.11.2021 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
2-0
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.81 xG 0.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
404 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC saw off Colorado Springs 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Orange County SC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Orange County SC had 53% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.81 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orange County SC and 2.33 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs?

Orange County SC 2-0 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 40%, draw 25%, Colorado Springs 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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