Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Sacramento Republic 2-2 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 55% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 45%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.52 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.50 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Sacramento Republic 2-2 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 53%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.