Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Sacramento Republic saw off Monterey Bay 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Sacramento Republic made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.17 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
Monterey Bay 0-2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 39%, draw 24%, Sacramento Republic 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.