New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 1-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising found just enough to beat New Mexico United 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 48% lean on New Mexico United didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 56% to 44% in New Mexico United's favour, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for New Mexico United against 1.33 for Phoenix Rising.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 1 - 2 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 48%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.