Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-3
HT 0-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
7-0
HT 4-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
3-2
HT 0-1
New Mexico United
USLP
5-2
HT 2-1
New Mexico United
USLP
Phoenix Rising 0-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United nicked a narrow win over Phoenix Rising 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 60% of the ball to New Mexico United's 40%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.36 to 2.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold New Mexico United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Phoenix Rising and 2.33 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United?
Phoenix Rising 0-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 46%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.