Indy Eleven vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Detroit City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Detroit City
USLP
Indy Eleven 1-2 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City nicked a narrow win over Indy Eleven 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 46% of the ball to Detroit City's 54%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.69 to 1.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 0.25 for Detroit City.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?
Indy Eleven 1-2 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 45%, draw 27%, Detroit City 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.