Oakland Roots 0-3 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.36
-1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
13.9 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 3-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
27.07.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
24.07.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-2 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
15.05.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-1 HT 1-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
03.10.2021 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-2 HT 2-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
09.09.2021 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
0-3
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.79 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights swept aside Oakland Roots 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Las Vegas Lights made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 57% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Oakland Roots.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?

Oakland Roots 0-3 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 39%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Oakland Roots), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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