Miami FC 1-2 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 31 Mar 2024

Miami FC
1-2 HT 1-1
Charleston Battery
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Miami FC vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 33% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-12.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miami FC v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+12% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.8 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Miami FC vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Charleston Battery
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.03 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 Passes 390
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
16.07.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
14.07.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
22.05.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-4 HT 0-3 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
31.10.2021 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-4 HT 0-2 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
19.09.2021 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP

Miami FC 1-2 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
1-2
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.68 xG 2.26
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 436
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery squeezed past Miami FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miami FC had 39% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 61%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.68 to 2.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charleston Battery's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Miami FC and 0.50 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?

Miami FC 1-2 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 27%, draw 26%, Charleston Battery 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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