Aqaba 0-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aqaba EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.06/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-9% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aqaba
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 HT 1-1 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
25.08.2023 Aqaba Aqaba 2-4 HT 1-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
27.08.2022 Aqaba Aqaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
29.04.2022 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-1 HT 0-1 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
POST-MATCH Aqaba vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghayer Al Sarhan edged past Aqaba 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moghayer Al Sarhan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aqaba had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aqaba and 1.50 for Moghayer Al Sarhan.

What was the final score of Aqaba vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Aqaba 0-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan in the Jordan - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aqaba vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moghayer Al Sarhan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aqaba 29%, draw 29%, Moghayer Al Sarhan 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moghayer Al Sarhan), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moghayer Al Sarhan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÜRD More Jordan - Premier League
23 Aug 2024
18:00 Al Jazeera vs Al Ramtha Analysis →