Huesca 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.8
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
13%
5.49
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
16%
3.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.17
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.06/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.25
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.7 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.51 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 2-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
25.08.2019 Huesca Huesca 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
27.05.2012 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
15.01.2012 Huesca Huesca 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
2.42 xG 0.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
254 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca edged past Deportivo La Coruna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Huesca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huesca had 42% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 58%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.42 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Huesca's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Huesca and 1.75 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Huesca 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Huesca 39%, draw 29%, Deportivo La Coruna 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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