Racing Santander 2-2 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.94
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.72
X/2
11%
6.92
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.07
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.42/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.31
-21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.1 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eibar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.14
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
213 Passes 450
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar HAZ
12.01.2024 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
12.08.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-0 HT 3-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
14.05.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
25.09.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.02.2002 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-2
AWAY Eibar
2.89 xG 1.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
367 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander and Eibar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Santander at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 56% of the ball to Eibar's 44%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.89 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Eibar?

Racing Santander 2-2 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 42%, draw 29%, Eibar 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5
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