Modena vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
FC Bari 1908
İTB
4-1
HT 2-0
Modena
İTB
3-3
HT 1-3
FC Bari 1908
İTC
1-1
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
Modena 2-1 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics
Modena edged past FC Bari 1908 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 42% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 58%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 3.08 to 1.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Modena's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Modena and 1.83 for FC Bari 1908.
What was the final score of Modena vs FC Bari 1908?
Modena 2-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs FC Bari 1908?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Modena 44%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.