Modena 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Apr 2024

Modena
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Bari 1908
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Modena vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
21%
4.15
X/2
10%
7.73
X/X
14%
3.68
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
7%
6.64
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.21
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.8 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Modena vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
329 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
06.05.2023 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
11.12.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 4-1 HT 2-0 Modena Modena İTB
07.05.2022 Modena Modena 3-3 HT 1-3 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
23.04.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
08.12.2015 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB

Modena 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.42 xG 0.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
372 Passes 336
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Modena vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and FC Bari 1908 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Modena had 51% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 49%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Modena and 1.83 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Modena vs FC Bari 1908?

Modena 1-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Modena 50%, draw 28%, FC Bari 1908 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Modena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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