Venezia vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Reggiana
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Venezia
İTB
Venezia 2-3 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Reggiana edged past Venezia 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Venezia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Venezia had 52% of the ball to Reggiana's 48%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.32 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Venezia.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venezia and 1.33 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Reggiana?
Venezia 2-3 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Venezia 52%, draw 24%, Reggiana 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.