Cosenza Calcio 1-2 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
16%
6.11
X/X
13%
3.78
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
12%
4.88
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.56/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.6 Crosses 19.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Brescia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
01.06.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
25.05.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
01.05.2023 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
08.12.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
05.02.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-2
AWAY Brescia
0.64 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
271 Passes 340
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia edged past Cosenza Calcio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Brescia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 48% of the ball to Brescia's 52%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.64 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 0.83 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia?

Cosenza Calcio 1-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 36%, draw 29%, Brescia 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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