Lecco 1-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Apr 2024

Lecco
1-1 HT 1-1
Cittadella
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Lecco vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.74
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
9%
6.18
X/2
11%
4.78
X/X
10%
3.98
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.31
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecco v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 45%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.34/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
-40% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
28.7 Crosses 24.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Lecco vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.95 xG 1.91
33% Ball Possession 67%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
117 Passes 354
53% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 2-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTB

Lecco 1-1 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-1
AWAY Cittadella
0.60 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
238 Passes 144
64% Pass Accuracy 53%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco and Cittadella couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lecco had 58% of the ball to Cittadella's 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.60 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Cittadella?

Lecco 1-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecco 32%, draw 27%, Cittadella 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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