Parma 0-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.06
X/2
10%
10.5
X/X
9%
5.54
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
16%
7.72
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.4 Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.64 xG 0.95
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
222 Passes 453
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-5 HT 0-3 Parma Parma İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
0-2
AWAY Catanzaro
2.04 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
492 Passes 342
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
56 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Parma vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro beat Parma 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parma had 58% of the ball to Catanzaro's 42%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 2.04 to 0.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Parma.

What was the final score of Parma vs Catanzaro?

Parma 0-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Parma 45%, draw 24%, Catanzaro 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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