Mönchengladbach 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 23 Aug 2024

Mönchengladbach
2-3 HT 0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.66
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.83
1/2
8%
19.45
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
6%
10.4
X/2
15%
4.2
X/X
12%
6.65
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
33%
2.0
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 62%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.46/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.87
+50% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +59%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 504 · 84%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
11.8 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 2.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
432 Passes 500
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
26.08.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
21.05.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.01.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
15.01.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
21.08.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mönchengladbach 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
2-3
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.58 xG 2.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 25
7 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
366 Passes 528
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen nicked a narrow win over Mönchengladbach 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 42% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 58%, shots finished 14-25, expected goals 1.58 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mönchengladbach and 2.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Mönchengladbach 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 22%, draw 22%, Bayer Leverkusen 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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