Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Jan 2024

Bayer Leverkusen
0-0 HT 0-0
Mönchengladbach
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.17
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
8.34
2-3 Goals
33%
2.35
4-5 Goals
32%
2.39
6+ Goals
20%
4.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.37
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
23.85
X/1
21%
3.71
X/2
5%
23.45
X/X
6%
10.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.95
2/2
6%
15.35
2/X
7%
22.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.14/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.41
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
503 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.3 Crosses 11.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.56 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
438 Passes 448
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
21.05.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.01.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
15.01.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
21.08.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.03.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.99 xG 0.28
75% Ball Possession 25%
28 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
874 Passes 251
92% Pass Accuracy 77%
71 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen and Mönchengladbach fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Bayer Leverkusen carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 75% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 25%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 2.99 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.83 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach?

Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 66%, draw 19%, Mönchengladbach 16%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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