Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.94
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.7
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.31
6+
6%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.27
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
11%
6.12
X/X
17%
4.73
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.07
2/X
6%
12.6
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Werder Bremen The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Freiburg The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Freiburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 421
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
16.04.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
22.10.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
13.02.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
17.10.2020 Freiburg Freiburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
23.05.2020 Freiburg Freiburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
3 - 1
AWAY Freiburg
2.49 xG 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 493
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Werder Bremen vs Freiburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Werder Bremen beat Freiburg 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Freiburg saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.49 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Werder Bremen against 1.00 for Freiburg.

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Result & Final Score

Werder Bremen 3 - 1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 41%, draw 28%, Freiburg 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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