Wolfsburg 1-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
12%
4.01
X/2
11%
9.08
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
12%
6.92
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.69/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.68
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.9 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Köln
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
25.02.2023 Köln Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
03.09.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-4 HT 1-3 Köln Köln AL1
07.05.2022 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
14.12.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-3 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1
03.04.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
1-1
AWAY Köln
1.53 xG 0.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
352 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg and Köln shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 52% of the ball to Köln's 48%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.33 for Köln.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Köln?

Wolfsburg 1-1 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 45%, draw 25%, Köln 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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