Karlsruher SC 3-2 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.89
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
5.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
11%
10.05
X/X
7%
6.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.8
2/2
15%
6.42
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.73/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.75
-21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
26.4 Crosses 9.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Elversberg
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.26 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
414 Passes 436
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
17.12.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
3-2
AWAY Elversberg
1.36 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
467 Passes 376
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC nicked a narrow win over Elversberg 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 54% of the ball to Elversberg's 46%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.00 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Elversberg?

Karlsruher SC 3-2 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 46%, draw 22%, Elversberg 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
23 Aug 2024
19:30 Hannover 96 vs Hamburg Analysis →