Hannover 96 1-0 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.37 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.43
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
11%
5.66
X/2
13%
5.92
X/X
11%
5.22
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.65
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.63/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.52
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.0 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hamburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.12 xG 2.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 3-4 HT 1-3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
26.08.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
08.04.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 6-1 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
30.09.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.05.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.12.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-0
AWAY Hamburg
1.10 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
331 Passes 363
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 edged past Hamburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Hannover 96 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 47% of the ball to Hamburg's 53%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hannover 96 and 2.33 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Hamburg?

Hannover 96 1-0 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 39%, draw 24%, Hamburg 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Over 2.5
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