Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2024

Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.77
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
24%
3.23
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.78
1/2 ✗
3%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
10%
6.89
X/2
16%
4.71
X/X
16%
5.05
2/1
2%
33.0
2/2
27%
2.82
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Erzgebirge Aue v Dynamo Dresden — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzgebirge Aue The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden The Market 49%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.74
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2

Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
208 Passes 342
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
24.09.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
04.03.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
28.08.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
15.05.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
12.12.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2

Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Dynamo Dresden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 0
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 14
202 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Erzgebirge Aue took care of Dynamo Dresden 2-0.

We leaned Dynamo Dresden at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Dynamo Dresden saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 8-19.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Erzgebirge Aue against 1.00 for Dynamo Dresden.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden Result & Final Score

Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 0 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 28%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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