Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-1 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 46%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.42/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.13
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 0-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
29.07.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
3-1
AWAY Isloch Minsk
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk got the better of Isloch Minsk 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 39% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 61%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 0.50 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-1 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 32%, draw 30%, Isloch Minsk 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Isloch Minsk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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