Isloch Minsk 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.25/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.99
-26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
361 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target
7 Corners 2
29.07.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
0-2
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk got the better of Isloch Minsk 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Isloch Minsk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 60% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 40%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Isloch Minsk 0-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 46%, draw 27%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Isloch Minsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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