Torpedo Zhodino 2-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +19%
1.18/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.75
-12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +82%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2W-3D-1L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 HT 1-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
28.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLRK
14.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
01.10.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
13.05.2022 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
20.11.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-3 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino saw off BATE Borisov 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Torpedo Zhodino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 51% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 49%, shots finished 16-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.00 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs BATE Borisov?

Torpedo Zhodino 2-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 37%, draw 25%, BATE Borisov 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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