Gomel 0-1 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
12%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
1.77/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.13
+60% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
13.05.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
08.05.2022 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
21.08.2021 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
18.04.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
22.09.2019 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk squeezed past Gomel 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gomel had 55% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gomel and 1.50 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?

Gomel 0-1 Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gomel 25%, draw 26%, Dinamo Minsk 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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